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Rasho

I was rather impressed by Portland on Friday night. They looked really, really good.

Brandon Roy is just an absolute surgeon. We already knew this, but it bears repeating over and over and over again. Moreover, if you combined LaMarcus Aldridge and Greg Oden’s skill sets together into a single player, that guy might be First Team All-NBA. Ok, that’s probably an exaggeration, but Oden’s defense is already that for real and, actually, even his post moves/jump hooks looked pretty impressive the other night. (I wrote a little more about that while giving Oden a Lion Face over at Hardwood Paroxysm yesterday. I’m biased, but I’m a big fan of both that Lion Face/Lemon Face series as well as Trey Kerby’s Morning Bells over at HP. Good place to check out every morning — after stopping by BTPH, obviously.)

Yet, more so than having an amazing “Big 3″ or whatever other shallow distinction people want to dub the star-studded rosters of teams like the Celtics and Lakers, the Blazers just have a whole corral full of thoroughbreds. I’m not positive that the numbers bear this out, but, qualitatively, there seems to be almost no drop off when they go to the bench. They remain just as potent offensively and, in some ways, get better. It’s like a hockey team that just keeps running out quality guys. After Brandon, Greg and LaMarcus, it doesn’t really matter whether the other guys are Miller, Pryzbilla, Outlaw, Blake, Rudy, Martell or Bayless (and, remember, Nic Batum isn’t even playing until after the All-Star break). They lose very little, if anything.

And because all their wings are fairly similar stylistically, and because Oden and Pryzbilla are fairly interchangeable, the only real difference is that they lose a post threat when LaMarcus is out, and they lose a PG who can hit threes when Miller replaces Blake. Obviously, having different looks to throw at other teams is a good thing though, so the advantages gained by going with a lineup of something like Miller/Rudy/Roy/Outlaw/Aldridge is a great thing to have, too.

Ultimately, Portland just has a whole roster full of ballers. I really enjoy watching them. And they’re gonna be a problem in the West all year, perhaps even giving the recently-terrible-playing Nuggets a run for the Northwest Division title.

On the other hand, I was also really impressed with the Jazz on Thursday — and they’re the same team that then lost to the Sacramento Kings (without Kevin Martin, no less) at home on Saturday night.

So, perhaps, the Spurs just aren’t that good right now? I’m not yet ready to say anything is really wrong at their core, obviously, and I will always maintain that the only thing more pointless than preseason results are November results. But they certainly aren’t playing well. And seeing Tony Parker hurt his ankle on Friday — fresh off his ankle issues last season — starts to make me think “Oh, no. So it’s not just Manu and Duncan’s health we have to worry about this season but Frenchie, too?”

They have way too much talent to not be a factor out West, of course, but when looking at their front court in particular, it’s hard to believe they have the size to bang in the Playoffs with the likes of Pau/Bynum or Nene/Kenyon — and, perhaps, even Oden/Aldridge. In the last five years, Timmy has usually had a Rasho Nesterovic or Nazr Mohammed-type guy alongside him to help absorb the sizable defensive burdens of playing high-level post defense. Sure, no one is ever going to single out Rasho or Nazr as major difference-makers on those Spurs teams, but they were both high-level defenders for Coach Popovich, and there is no one on the current roster, with the possible exception of an in-my-eyes-completely-washed-up Theo Ratliff, that can even fill that “secondary big body banger” role beside an increasingly aged-looking Tim Duncan. I really think they need that guy and, no, Matt Bonner is not that guy. And as much as I like the Antonio McDyess pick up, he is not that guy anymore either, if he ever was.

It doesn’t need to be anyone high-profile. Just someone to bang with Nene for 15 minutes a night and battle with Bynum on the block. Timmy can’t be expected to do that for 30 minutes per night anymore — at least not if you still expect him to have the energy to hit his patented, back-breaking bank shots in the final three minutes of close Playoff games. I’ll always remember a great quote from Charles Barkley after Nazr Mohammed, who was having a pretty damn good year at the time in New York, was traded from the Knicks to the Spurs: “Isiah is building a championship team — too bad it’s in San Antonio.” I think they need to make a similar, under-the-radar, spackling-up-the-holes-in-the-roster move this year.

(We’ll explore that “spackle” concept more down the road. A lot of teams are too slow to identify that one little thing they need to fix their weakness. Often, it’s just a small thing, but, more often, teams make some big, unnecessarily radical move that fixes some things but creates new issues. Look for that spackle, GMs.)

Anyway, I’ll be watching the Spurs closely to see how this plays out, and all this is something I had the pleasure of discussing with my 8th Seed brethren Jeff Garcia and Michael De Leon on Friday night after the Spurs loss to Portland. Check the video below from their live post-game SpursCast where I joined them to offer my two cents.

I come on at the 23:30 mark. Some minor technical difficulties pop up right as I’m coming on, but we fight through it and chat for 20 minutes or so.

* Alright. I’ve had just about enough of this. Brandon Roy needs a nickname. Neither his first nor last name work on their own and I’m done writing out the whole thing. I’ve waited and waited, internets, but you’ve given me nothing to work with here. You’ve offered no good options. So he’s now “Daggers.” Me and Capital_T were unsuccessfully looking for a guy to call this anyway, and I’m not sure I’ve ever seem many bigger daggers than that one he hit against the Rockets last year. I mean, the purity with which that ball went through the net was just like someone getting stabbed. It’s official. Done and done. Put it on the board.

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Pacers Hot Spots

by Jared Wade on January 16, 2009 at 4:15 pm · 1 comment

NBA.com has a new feature this year where they aggregate every shot by every player and color code the different spots on the floor where the dude is either hot or cold. For MLB fans, it’s essentially the same hot/cold zone concept that ESPN, Fox and video games have been utilizing for years now, only the Association calls it “Hotshots.”

No, it’s not as good as the movie (nor Part Deux solely on the strength of the Wall Street scene), but it’s pretty dope nonetheless.

For purely illustrative purposes, I took the liberty of running a few Pacer players through the system to show the vast difference two people can have.

Danny Granger – 26.4 ppg on 45.5% FG and 39.3% 3PT

Marquis Daniels – 15.3 ppg on 46.2% FG and 18.5% 3PT

Indeed, Marquis doesn’t even deserve a photo.

And since Jermaine O’Neal makes his first return to Conseco Fieldhouse in Indianapolis tonight with the Raptors (though he’s not expected to play and wants the beasting Andrea Bargnani start in his place even when he is ready to come back from injury), let’s just look at the charts for all the guys involved in last summer’s trade.

You can follow that game tonight live over at Indy Cornrows.

UPDATE: Jermaine played.

Jermaine O’Neal – 14.0 ppg on 47.5% FG

TJ Ford – 14.1 ppg on 43.6% FG and 36.7% 3PT

Rasho Nesterovic – 9.1 ppg on 52.7% FG

Roy Hibbert – 5.9 ppg on 50.9 FG%

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New Look Pacers

by Jared Wade on October 16, 2008 at 8:03 pm · 0 comments

Despite the preseason shooting woes of Danny Granger (5 for 32 from the field in three games), the overhauled Pacers roster has looked somewhat promising in camp. And while I put all preseason NBA happenings on roughly the same plane of credibility for projecting reality as the Decabox pundits on CNBC are on for estimating daily Dow fluctuations, this marks at least a first sign that Indy fans like myself can maybe possibly sorta think about removing the paper bags from our heads.

For a team that unbelievably only has two players left from its 2005-2006 squad (then rookie Danny Granger and rebounding savant Jeff Foster) and ranked dead last in attendance last year (12,000 per game, which was more than 1,000 less than the lame-duck Sonics drew in Seattle), it is absolutely imperative that a few guys emerge who can not only help the team win games on the floor, but also establish themselves as the new face of the franchise to a disillusioned fanbase.

In last night’s victory over Dallas, rookies Roy Hibbert and Brandon Rush both scored 15 points and new acquisitions Rasho Nesterovic and Jarrett Jack have each shown that they will likely be at least solid rotation contributors. Most importantly, it has become increasingly clear that TJ Ford, if healthy, is going to absolutely flourish in Jim O’Brien’s free-wheeling, quick-shooting system, giving the team a third perimeter threat to drop 25 on any given night (in addition to Granger and Dunleavy) and the capable penetrator not named Jamaal Tinsley that Indy has not had since Jalen Rose.

The interior is still a mess, there remain a host of other problems and the team still clearly isn’t good.

But these two photos below better illustrate the promise of a new post-brawl era and the feeling of refreshment that, for better or for worse, the JO trade/2008 Draft has provided Pacers fans than any season preview you could possibly read. (Though “The Dunleavy Faces” graphic alone on Ball Don’t Lie’s team preview makes this link fully worth the next ten seconds of your life.)

(Thanks to local fan MagicRat for the photos.)

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Watching…TJ Ford

by Jared Wade on July 28, 2008 at 5:29 pm · 0 comments

Most Indiana Pacer fans were ecstatic with the JO for TJ Ford/Rasho Nesterovic/Roy Hibbert trade — and with good reason. For the most part, the joy was more so about finally severing ties with the last holdover from the Malice at the Palace Era Pacers (Jamaal Tinsley, who isn’t expected to ever wear a Pacer jersey again, notwithstanding).

The return pieces, however, are also pretty nice. TJ will be the team’s best PG since Mark Jackson and although his contract is maybe slightly high and, oh yeah, his career could end on any given play due to his congenital spine disorder, the upgrade from Travis Diener is worth celebrating. And Rasho and Hibbert, while unspectacular, should each help clog up the middle.

But a lot of people haven’t seen much TJ Ford of late since he’s missed a lot of time and Calderon. Fortunately, the Toronto Raptors do a pretty sweat recap of (I think) all their games in a thing called “Game in 6 Minutes.” Since it’s YouTube, the quality is obviously not ideal, but they’re well-edited and you can find dozens of them, but it is a good way to get a look at him in situations that aren’t just highlights. Unfortunately, there is generally more Jose than TJ in these six minute clips, but you can still get a more nuanced look at his game/abilities than other TJ YouTube vids, which tends to be only his sickest assists, ankle-breakers or dunks set to bad music. And regardless, the Raps are a pretty fun team to watch anyway (unless you’re Lou Dobbs).

Here are a few I just watched.

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November 5, 2007
Boston 98 – Toronto 95

TJ’s highest point total of the season (32 pts) comes in his fifth game of the year. Pretty good game by him overall and the tape does a good job showing some of his positives and negatives.The first play is TJ drilling a mid-range pull-up J, something he’s pretty good at in space and does lightning quick. At 0:35 he begins his overdribbling show, however, which is probably the biggest criticism of him from Toronto’s Jose Calderon. After an offensive board, he does manage a nice little scoop finger roll though. He’s crafty on the interior for a midget.More dribbling antics at 1:18. It again ends well when TJ drops a sweet dime to Rasho who finishes with an up and under, but he did dribble 11 times in the front-court and had the ball in his hands for the first 13 seconds of the possession.At 1:52, Rasho looks absolutely lost playing helpside D and more resembles Kevin McHale trying to count the screws in the parquet floor until he feels the breeze of Paul Pierce racing by.Great rotation by TJ at 2:42 to react to a very nice cross-court skip pass from Pierce enough to disrupt Ray Allen’s jumper. Not so great is at 3:18 when he has a sloppy, telegraphed, one-handed entry pass just snatched away from him by Rajon. Good pass at 3:37 to get out of (self-imposed) trouble.

Later, at 4:50 (and it OT), TJ shows why he’s arguably the quickest guy in the League. Then he turns into Mr. Clutch and gets to the rim again at 5:11 to finish with a crafty lay-up. Next play, “Onions, baby…Onions,” according to the Raps play-by-play man as TJ drills a triple to tie the game with 0:04 to play. Too bad they leave Ray Ray wide open to drill a three of his own on the ensuing in-bounds play. Wow…nice D, Sam Mitchell.

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November 8, 2007
Lakers 117 – Toronto 108

Great post sequence by Rasho at 0:40. Strong screen on Fish, decent show with Gasol behind him, nice pass to the cutter, and fantastic mismatch recognition by going right to the hoop and man-handling Fish. Later, he shows his range nicely at 4:30ish and chases down an O board at 5:15.No TJ sightings until 3:04, when he makes a great pass. More size-related D issues at 3:45 on Farmar, but then he makes a nice steal and has a ballsy, sick dunk attempt in Kobe’s grill (although it doesn’t work out so well). More bad D at 4:50. Creates his own shot nicely on the next play (though misses the J).More sloppy D at 5:45…There’s really no reason to collapse that far when Kobe’s going to the other side of the lane (especially when you’re too little to possibly affect his shot), although it does take a great pass from Mamba for him to get burnt on it. Nine times out of ten, TJ won’t get bitten by that cause few people can make that pass. Unfortunately, that’s also the reason people develop bad habits.

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November 18, 2007
G-State 106 – Toronto 100

We see TJ get abused in the paint twice to start things off. Then also see him push the ball up the floor, smoke The Beard off the dribble (though he misses the J) and make a creative cross-court pass to Bosh.Later he makes a nice transition lob to Maceo. At 3:30, you’ll see what people don’t like about his defense. People make him out to be a real ball-hawk, which he can be at times, but he also falls asleep or gets muscled out of position quite a bit (or just sags off guys he’s quicker than for no real reason). Honestly, you really can’t guard a screen/roll any worse than he does right there. The next play, however, shows his best asset — his ability to beat the D up the floor. And it’s not just with his feet…it’s a mindset. Here, he makes a sweet lead pass to Kapono.Around 4:00, you see him also not put much pressure on Monta and then be unable to disrupt Baron even remotely on a reach-in hedge. Then, at 5:05, you see something we will see a lot of next year. This drive-and-dish game is going to get us an absurd amount of open threes.

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March 17, 2008
Raptors 100 – Sacto 106

Rasho shows one of his strengths and one of his weaknesses early. On the first, Rap possesion, he sets a solid screen at 0:23 and then after Parker gets the ball in the post on the other block, he makes sure to drift all the way down to the baseline to open up as much space as possible in the middle. That also makes it tough for his guy to recover if he goes for the double. It’s a minor thing, but few players pay that much attention to spacing — something that is absolutely vital to Jim O’Brien’s offense.On the next play, however, he lumbers down the court and sort of oafs his way around the paint. He doesn’t really clog anything up and he’s not really guarding anybody or committing to anything. He tends to do that and the result is him “playing smaller” than he is at times. If he would just take up more space, he could at least be a better deterrent. In general, he does a lot of this undecided, hopping around on both ends. It makes him slow and off-balance often.At 2:27 is more subtle, good offense though. He shows hard in the post, gets the ball, kicks it back out nicely and then again pulls his Mikki Moore 15 feet from the hoop. Moore has to respect his jumper on Parker’s ball fake, and is unable to close the gap to prevent him from penetrating.At 2:56, you see him execute a great screen/roll. Not only does his wide body pick prevent Udrih from getting through quick, he also times his release well and should have gotten a dunk if Calderon hadn’t pulled up for the jumper so quickly. (It’s worth noting that this was pretty horrible D as well…but still shows his acumen for ball-screening.)Sick dunk for Jamario at 3:30. And…nothing else happens.

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April 28, 2008
(Playoffs – First Round, Game 4)
Magic 106 – Raptors 94

TJ starts the game with a great pass to Andrea that hits him in the perfect location to shoot. (A PG’s ability to do that is, IMO, the most underrated aspect of the position…and just passing in general. As a shooter myself, that really is the difference between me making it and missing it like half the time. If it hits you square in the pocket in rhythm, the ball may as well already be in the hoop.)He abuses Jameer at 0:45, but tries to do too much on the next trip down and forces a bad shot (another one of his flaws.)Not about TJ, but Bosh looks exactly like 2004 JO at 3:15.Shows his quickness at 3:40. Then shows horrible screen/roll D at 3:55. Great drive-and-dump at 4:03. At 4:28 and again at 4:58, you get to see more another of his lazy defensive habits — ball-staring while standing still. IMO, a guy with his size and quickness should just be more active, and no one should just stand in the paint with their back to their man and watching the dribbler like he’s 1987 MJ or something.

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